Rabobank published a long-term outlook for US corn, soybeans, and wheat through 2030. It expects soybeans to gain acreage over corn in coming years to meet soybean oil demand from renewable diesel.
It also projects expanding soybean crushing capacity, with domestic demand growing faster than exports and US global export share declining.
Growing domestic crush and renewable diesel demand for soybean oil should keep soybean prices supported and reduce US export availability, while meal supply rises from crushing.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.