StoneX's Canada market outlook calls the May WASDE bullish for corn and soybeans and bearish for wheat. It notes 2025-26 corn stocks of 1.8 billion bushels versus 2 billion expected and soybean stocks of 295 million bushels below expectations.
Below-expected corn and soybean carryouts support feed grain and oilseed meal prices, while the large wheat carryout keeps wheat pressured.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.