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Extreme weather is driving up global food prices, with drought hitting U.S. and Russian wheat and dry conditions affecting Brazilian soybeans. Flooding in Vietnam, Malaysia and Indonesia is damaging rice fields and oil palm stands.
The Bloomberg Agriculture Spot Index has risen 28% since late April to a four-year high.
Simultaneous crop shortfalls in wheat, soybeans, rice and palm oil tighten global feed and vegetable oil supplies. This points to sustained upward pressure on feed ingredient prices.
farmprogress.comBloombergOct 23, 2020After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
After 181 past bullish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
