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Bloomberg reports on whether a strong El Niño will affect global weather and food production in 2026. The phenomenon can bring heat and drought to some regions and heavy rain and flooding to others.
Expectations of a strong El Niño can lift prices for crops exposed to Asian and South American weather, including corn, soybeans and palm oil.
bloomberg.comBrian K Sullivan, Lauren RosenthalSep 4, 2026After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 181 past bullish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
