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Reuters reports that El Nino-driven dryness, which hit large parts of Asia in 2023, is forecast to persist into the first half of 2024. Traders and officials expect Asian rice output to fall as dry planting conditions and shrinking reservoirs cut yields, putting rice, wheat and palm oil supplies at risk.
Lower Asian rice and palm oil output and export curbs tighten global staple supplies, supporting prices for rice and palm oil and adding to feed-grain and oilseed cost pressure.
reuters.comNaveen ThukralDec 26, 2023After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
After 181 past bullish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
