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China let the yuan break the 7-per-dollar level for the first time in more than a decade, falling about 1.4% on August 5, 2019. The move came days after Trump announced 10% tariffs on the remaining $300 billion of Chinese imports, ending a brief ceasefire.
A weaker yuan makes Chinese exports cheaper and raises the cost of US farm goods for Chinese buyers, which pressures US soybean demand. The escalation also points to further retaliation risk for US agricultural exports.
jp.reuters.comAug 5, 2019
reuters.comAndrew GalbraithAug 5, 2019After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 40 past bullish trade events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (75% higher; middle half +0.0% to +1.4%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
China let the yuan break 7 per dollar on Aug 5, a drop of about 1.4%, after Trump's new 10% tariffs on $300B of goods, which directly explains the move.
The PBOC let the yuan break 7 per dollar on Aug 5 (about 1.4% in one day) after Trump's new tariff announcement, which directly drove most of the 5-day CNY move.
