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An official from China's Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs said pork supply will ease from the fourth quarter as new pig farms and restocking take effect. Productive sow stocks are up 28.6% from September 2019, and live hog stocks are up 20.9% since January.
Imports and more than 1.2 million tonnes of extra poultry meat will also help.
Expected recovery in Chinese hog numbers would eventually reduce feed demand growth, which is bearish for feed grains and meals later in the year.
chinaeconomicreview.comJul 14, 2020After 34 past bearish policy events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.3%), and -1.8% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
