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USDA's Economic Research Service says China's rice stocks are projected to reach a record 113 million tons by end-June 2019, the twelfth straight year of increases. Policymakers are considering disposing of the surplus through ethanol or livestock feed.
If China releases rice into feed markets, it could substitute for corn and imported feed grains, weighing on corn and sorghum demand and on global feed prices. The effect depends on whether rice displaces stored or imported corn.
ers.usda.govMar 13, 2019After 100 past bearish policy events, RICE moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
