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Chinese live pig prices rebounded to 2.34 USD/kg in the 22nd week of 2024, up 15% year on year, after the government cut its breeding sow target from 41 million to 39 million head. Pig inventories and sow numbers have fallen, and lower corn and soymeal prices have improved farm margins.
Government-driven herd reduction tightens pork supply and supports hog prices, while lower feed costs improve producer margins. A smaller herd also means less feed demand in coming months.
tridge.comVictor LangatJun 7, 2024After 36 past bullish policy events, HOGS moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.8% to +1.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 222 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.1% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
