
Bloomberg reports China has asked hog farmers to be prudent in expanding sow herds and to halt secondary fattening of pigs, aiming to support prices amid deflation. Wholesale pork prices are near their lowest in almost a year, down 10% from a January peak.
Guidance to restrain hog supply would reduce future feed demand from China, a bearish factor for corn and soymeal, while supporting hog prices.
After 36 past bullish policy events, HOGS moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.8% to +1.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 222 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.1% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.