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China's agriculture ministry lowered its target for breeding sow inventory for 2021-2025, saying keeping the herd within a reasonable range will guarantee piglet output and keep pork prices relatively stable. The move follows a sharp decline in pork prices and hog farmers falling into losses after a rapid herd rebuild following African swine fever.
A lower sow herd target signals slower future pig herd expansion, which over time reduces expected feed demand from China's largest livestock sector and eases pressure on hog prices; near-term feed demand remains weak.
reuters.comMin Zhang, Tom DalySep 23, 2021After 36 past bullish policy events, HOGS moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.8% to +1.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 222 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.1% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
