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OPEC+ agreed to taper its record output cuts starting in August, reducing the curbs from 9.7 million to 7.7 million barrels per day. Saudi Arabia's energy minister said the extra supply would be absorbed as demand recovers, though the group faces risk from a resurgence of the virus in the U.S.
Roughly 2 million barrels a day of returning supply is a meaningful bearish force on crude, which feeds through to diesel and biofuel economics and can soften vegetable oil and biodiesel demand.
aljazeera.comGrant Smith, Salma El Wardany, Javier Blas, Dina Khrennikova, BloombergJul 15, 2020After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 51 past bearish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -8.2% to +3.9%), and -2.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
