
Soybeans and corn posted their first lower weekly closes in weeks on March 12. Analysts said traders were disappointed that USDA's March WASDE made no changes to U.S. ending stocks, despite strong exports.
A small increase to Brazil's soybean crop was offset by drought-related cuts in Argentina.
Unchanged U.S. ending stocks despite strong exports leaves the market without new bullish input, so prices may drift lower until USDA adjusts balance sheets.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Corn posted its first lower weekly close in weeks on March 12 as traders were disappointed that USDA's WASDE left U.S. ending stocks unchanged, a sentiment-driven selloff.
Corn and soybeans posted lower weekly closes as traders were disappointed by unchanged US ending stocks, signaling bullish sentiment fading.