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Lean hog futures began trending lower the week of 13 November after falling pork prices in China raised doubts about the durability of its US pork purchases. USDA cut its 2020 US pork export forecast and raised its production outlook, lowering its cash hog price projection.
COVID-19 outbreaks at US meat plants were also noted.
A lower USDA export forecast and higher production outlook point to ample US pork supply and weaker hog prices, while uncertainty over China's demand weighs on the outlook.
thepigsite.comJim Wyckoff More from this authorNov 13, 2020After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
