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The USDA Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Report for June 2017 showed US market hog numbers rising about 4% over the next four months, with the breeding herd up about 1.5%, in line with expectations. The report prompted the large discount in lean hog futures to cash prices.
A roughly 4% increase in market hog supplies, well above the typical 1.5% annual growth, signals lower hog prices ahead, with Canadian prices also tracking US levels. The expected supply expansion is the main bearish driver for hog values.
thepigsite.comGlobal Ag MediaJul 19, 2017After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
