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USDA's March Hogs and Pigs survey put the US swine herd at 77.6 million head, up 4% year on year and close to the December record. Market hog inventory came in above trade expectations, while the breeding herd was slightly smaller than expected, and June-August farrowing intentions were down 4.3%.
A larger market hog supply with stronger expected slaughter and foreign markets needed to absorb record output points to lower hog prices.
nationalhogfarmer.comRon PlainMar 30, 2020After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The Hogs and Pigs report showed market hog inventory above expectations, adding to burdensome supply just as demand fell.
