
June lean hog futures settled down 3.6 cents at 120.625 cents per pound after trading from a contract high to a session low on the CME. The move followed a USDA report showing the US hog herd down 2.3% year over year, which was bullish but was offset by end-of-quarter profit-taking.
A smaller hog herd supports future pork supply tightness, but weak wholesale pork and fund liquidation capped prices, affecting feed demand outlook.
After 61 past neutral report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.8%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.