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NASA Harvest published an overview of how El Niño and La Niña phases relate to crop yields, focusing on African agriculture. It notes that the same ENSO event can bring drought in one country and flooding in another, with Southern Africa typically seeing lower yields during El Niño.
The piece is general research on ENSO impacts in Africa and does not signal a new supply shock for feed grains or meals.
nasaharvest.orgWritten By NASA HarvestNov 24, 2020After 2,467 past weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 1,964 past weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,773 past weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 361 past weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
