
USDA reported May 1 cattle on feed at 11.7 million head, 4.7 percent above a year earlier and the second-largest May inventory since 1996. Cold storage data showed red meat supplies 17 percent below April 2020, with pork down 26 percent and chicken down 22 percent.
Large cattle on feed supplies add to near-term fed cattle supply and pressure prices, while shrinking cold storage stocks signal firm meat demand. Lower meat stocks support hog and poultry prices.
After 144 past bearish report events, LCATTLE moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 100 past bullish report events, HOGS moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.