
Crude oil prices suffered their biggest daily rout in years, falling nearly 25% as the coronavirus spread amplified fears of a global recession. The slump triggered panic selling and heavy losses on Wall Street's main stock indexes.
The collapse in crude prices lowers energy costs and reflects weakening fuel demand, which can pressure feed-related commodities and freight markets through lower biofuel and energy linkages.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 51 past bearish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -4.1% to +1.1%), and -1.8% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 40 past bearish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -4.5% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The roughly 25% crude oil crash on March 9 cut biodiesel/energy-linked demand for soybean oil and set off a broad risk-off selloff, directly pressuring soyoil.
Crude suffered its biggest daily rout in years, nearly 25%, as the Saudi-Russia price war combined with coronavirus recession fears.
The roughly 25% daily rout combined supply-war fears with coronavirus recession concerns, causing panic selling.
Describes the Saudi-Russia price war combined with coronavirus recession fears driving panic selling in crude on the day.
Crude's roughly 25% one-day plunge amplified recession fears and caused broad commodity selling, including palm.