
PricePedia's financial index of edible oil prices fell after a bullish phase starting in September 2024. Palm oil growth was driven by Indonesian and Malaysian biodiesel demand, Thai export bans, and tree aging, plus fertilizer disruptions from the Ukraine war.
Biodiesel-driven demand and export restrictions tightened palm supply, lifting edible oil prices. The recent decline eases pressure on feed fat costs, though supply constraints remain.
After 51 past bearish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -4.1% to +1.1%), and -1.8% over 20.
After 40 past bearish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -4.5% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.