
Oil prices fell about 1% to a one-week low after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady but projected one more rate increase by year-end. Fed policymakers still see the benchmark rate peaking in the 5.50%-5.75% range.
Higher-for-longer rates slow economic growth and can reduce energy demand, adding bearish pressure to crude and, by extension, biofuel-linked feedstock values. Feed buyers may see modest downward pressure on energy-linked costs.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.