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The USDA's January reports left grain and oilseed markets largely unmoved, with most changes in line with expectations. The main surprise was a larger-than-expected cut to South American crop production, attributed to La Niña, with Brazilian soybean output the most affected.
A sharper South American soybean and corn shortfall tightens export supplies and supports prices, which benefits US beans and meal demand.
mecardo.com.auOlivia AgarJan 13, 2022After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
