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Safras & Mercado forecasts Brazil's 2023/24 soybean output to rise 4.5% to 163.2 million tons on a 2.5% acreage increase to a record 45.6 million hectares. It expects corn output to fall 2 million tons to 137.4 million tons on lower corn prices.
A larger Brazilian soybean crop adds to supply for the 2024 export season, bearish for soybeans and soymeal. A smaller corn crop from lower acreage is mildly supportive for corn prices.
ukragroconsult.comJul 19, 2023After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
