
USDA's April WASDE cut U.S. soybean ending stocks by 25 million bushels to 260 million and raised exports by the same amount, partly offsetting lower exports from Brazil, Ukraine and Russia. Brazil's soyoil and soymeal exports reached multi-year highs in the first quarter of 2022.
Lower U.S. soybean stocks support soybean prices, while strong Brazilian soymeal exports add supply to the meal market and weigh on soymeal prices.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.