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USDA's March Grain Stocks report put U.S. soybean stocks on March 1 at a record 2.72 billion bushels, above the 2.683 billion trade estimate. Corn stocks came in at 8.60 billion bushels, also above expectations, and May corn and soybean futures closed sharply lower.
Record soybean stocks and larger-than-expected corn supplies signal ample feed grain supply and weaker demand, which pressures futures and farm prices. Trade expectations were exceeded on both crops, adding to the bearish impact.
agriculture.comMike McGinnisMar 29, 2019After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
