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Soybean meal futures peaked in spring 2021 after USDA tightened supply estimates, then fell as ending stocks rose through summer reports. The October 12 USDA report cut 2021/22 ending stocks to 400 thousand short tons, and December futures rebounded from near $309 support.
Lower projected meal stocks after the October report support meal prices, and a rebound from support suggests the price floor may be forming for feed buyers. Meal is a key protein input, so tighter supply lifts feed costs.
farmprogress.comNaomi BlohmOct 21, 2021After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
