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CNBC analysts outlined how a Russian invasion of Ukraine could disrupt food, metals and energy supply chains. Russia and Ukraine together supply roughly 29% of global wheat exports, and Ukraine was China's top corn supplier in 2021.
Potential loss of Black Sea wheat and corn supply would tighten global feed grain markets and push up import costs for buyers reliant on these origins.
cnbc.comWeizhen TanFeb 23, 2022After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 948 past geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -3.7% to +5.8%), and -0.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
