Loading…
USDA's first 2022/23 world supply and demand estimates pegged global wheat output at 774.83 million tonnes, below the current crop, with ending stocks cut. India then banned wheat exports, cutting the global export forecast by 8.5 million tonnes.
India's export ban removes a large supply source from world wheat trade and tightens global availability, which is bullish for wheat prices.
grainbrokers.com.auMay 17, 2022After 182 past bullish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 37 past bullish policy events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -3.4% to +2.0%), and -3.3% over 20.
After 100 past neutral policy events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -2.6% to +2.3%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
