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Farm Press reports that world wheat production and use are both projected at records for 2020/21, with world ending stocks rising to a record 11.2 billion bushels. U.S. wheat ending stocks are falling sharply, and Russia is imposing an export tax of about 82 cents per bushel that may rise to $1.64 with a permanent formula from June 2021.
Russia's export tax and tighter U.S. stocks reduce available supply in export markets, supporting wheat prices for feed buyers even with record global output.
farmprogress.comShelley E. HuguleyFeb 26, 2021After 37 past bullish policy events, KWHEAT moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -3.4% to +2.0%), and -3.3% over 20.
After 182 past bullish policy events, WHEAT moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
