
Indian crude rice bran oil fell about ₹500 per quintal over the past month to roughly ₹13,000, after India cut import duties on crude sunflower, soybean and palm oils. Physical Indian and Vietnamese rice FOB quotes are broadly steady in euro terms, and paddy sowing is down year on year.
Lower duties on competing edible oils increase import competition and undercut domestic bran oil prices, while the shrinking paddy area adds medium-term risk to bran supply.
After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 100 past neutral policy events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -2.6% to +2.3%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.