
Fastmarkets' agriculture team outlines biofuel feedstock drivers, noting renewable diesel plants ran below capacity at the start of the year. Animal fats, UCO and DCO prices have eased from late-summer highs, tracking lower soybean oil futures that fell after EPA's lower-than-expected RVOs in December.
Lower renewable diesel run rates reduce demand for soybean oil and other feedstocks, pressuring prices near term. Fastmarkets still expects long-term support from growing renewable diesel and SAF output.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 400 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.