Indonesia's 40% biodiesel blending (B40) mandate is likely to face further delays due to high palm oil prices, according to a government official cited by Reuters. The original July 2021 target has slipped, and Gapki has said implementation could slip beyond 2022.
Palm futures in Malaysia reached MYR4,364 per tonne on August 25, up 13% year to date.
Delayed biodiesel expansion removes a planned source of palm oil demand, which limits upside for palm prices. Palm remains firm on strong China and India buying and energy prices, so the net effect is modest.
After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.