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Malaysian palm oil futures fell 3.5% on May 19 to 4,300 ringgit a tonne, their biggest one-day percentage drop in seven weeks. The decline followed Malaysia's higher export tax reference price and weaker soyoil and crude oil prices.
A higher export tax reference price raises the cost of Malaysian exports, and weaker rival vegetable oils reduce competitive support for palm. Both factors point to softer palm and soyoil prices.
brecorder.comReutersMay 19, 2021After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
