
Malaysian palm oil futures fell more than 3% to their lowest close in over six months, with the July contract at 3,455 ringgit a tonne. The drop followed Indonesia's decision to lower its domestic sales threshold and allow more product into the global market, and the contract ended lower for a fifth straight session.
More Indonesian export availability, combined with slow exports and palm's price disadvantage to soyoil, is adding bearish pressure to global vegetable oil prices.
After 400 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Futures fell to a six-month low for a fifth straight session after Indonesia allowed more product into the global market, reflecting supply-driven selling pressure.
Indonesia's lower domestic sales threshold lets more palm into the global market, driving a fifth straight lower session and a six-month low just before the move.
Palm oil slumped to a six-month low on Indonesia's policy change, a fifth straight lower session, spilling over to soyoil through oil-to-oil substitution.