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Malaysian palm oil futures posted their biggest monthly decline since September, with the July contract closing down 2.95% at 3,353 ringgit a tonne. Indonesia said it will cut its mandatory domestic sales threshold to 300,000 tonnes a month from May, allowing more exports, and Malaysian exports in April 1-20 fell 20.3%.
Indonesia's looser domestic sales rule adds export supply to a market already facing weak demand, which pushes palm prices lower and weighs on competing vegetable oils.
brecorder.comReutersApr 28, 2023After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Palm oil's sharpest monthly loss and a 2.95% drop to 3,353 ringgit on April 28 came as Indonesia cut its domestic sales threshold to allow more exports, adding supply, while Malaysian exports were weak (April 1-20 down 20.3%).
Indonesia's cut of its domestic sales threshold to 300,000 t/month from May frees more export supply, and the sharpest monthly loss plus weak Malaysian exports reinforced the selling pressure.
Palm oil's biggest monthly loss in seven months and Indonesia's lower domestic sales threshold (allowing more exports) set a bearish vegoil tone going into May 1.
