
Malaysian palm oil futures fell more than 5% for a second straight session after Indonesia lowered its crude palm oil reference price and raised the export-to-domestic sales ratio from seven to nine times. The changes lower Indonesia's export duty and make its palm oil more competitive against Malaysian supply.
Weakness in soybean oil and broader recession fears also weighed.
Lower Indonesian export duty and a higher export quota increase palm oil export availability, pressuring global palm oil and related vegetable oil prices.
After 400 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.