Canadian dollar perks up with oil back near $100

After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.

• Dec 22, 2025Canadian dollar rises ahead of GDP data as oil prices climb | Reuters+2.1%
• Sep 10, 2026Brent crude oil nears $104 per barrel: Here's why+6.6%
• May 1, 2026U.S. oil hovers near $100 on report Trump dissatisfied with Iran's proposal to open Hormuz-9.6%
• Apr 29, 2026Canadian Dollar consolidates vs USD as BoC, FOMC decisions loom+2.2%
• Dec 18, 2023Canadian dollar retreats from four-month high ahead of CPI data+3.1%

After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Dec 22, 2025Canadian dollar rises ahead of GDP data as oil prices climb | Reuters+2.6%
• Sep 10, 2026Brent crude oil nears $104 per barrel: Here's why+10.5%
• May 1, 2026U.S. oil hovers near $100 on report Trump dissatisfied with Iran's proposal to open Hormuz-15.2%
• Apr 29, 2026Canadian Dollar consolidates vs USD as BoC, FOMC decisions loom-1.9%
• Mar 30, 2026Canadian dollar hits nearly four-month low as war raises growth concerns | MarketScreener Canada+1.2%

After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.

• Mar 1, 2026Oil jumps, dollar rallies with gold as conflict grips Middle East | Reuters+7.5%
• Oct 22, 2025US hits top Russian oil companies with sanctions, EU bans Russian LNG | Reuters+0.5%
• Mar 2, 2026Euro Declines on Dollar Strength+7.5%
• Mar 8, 2026Oil prices surge 20% as expanding US-Israeli war with Iran cuts supplies from Mideast - CNA+0.7%
• Apr 28, 2026Oil Prices Surge as Hormuz Tensions Push WTI Near $100 and Brent Above $111, Threatening Global Energy Markets+5.1%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.