
The European Central Bank raised interest rates on Thursday for the first time in 11 years, by a larger amount than expected. The move followed similar steps by the US Federal Reserve and other major central banks to combat high inflation.
Synchronized global tightening strengthens currencies against the euro and raises borrowing costs across the feed and livestock chain. The net effect is firmer dollar terms for global commodity prices and weaker demand for credit-financed purchases.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.