
Reuters reports the euro is gaining appeal with central bank reserve managers as the ECB has returned to positive rates. Geopolitical tensions are also cited as weighing on the dollar's status.
Diversification away from the dollar by reserve managers is a slow structural shift that can modestly weaken the dollar over time, with limited near-term effect on feed prices.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.