
Dollar momentum has been weakened by rate increases across major economies outside the US as central banks respond to rising inflation. Analysts note the dollar rally has lagged the scale of US yield moves, with the ECB priced to lift rates positive by year-end.
Narrower rate differentials and a softer dollar rally reduce pressure on dollar-priced feed commodities and ease import costs for euro-zone buyers somewhat.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.