
The European Central Bank left its deposit rate at 4% for a third straight meeting in January. Lagarde said it was premature to discuss rate cuts, though disinflation was progressing.
Markets had priced cuts starting around April.
Higher-for-longer euro-area rates support the euro against the dollar, which lowers the cost of dollar-priced feed imports for European buyers. A dovish shift later would weigh on the euro.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.