
The European Central Bank held its benchmark deposit facility rate at 2% on April 30, 2026, despite euro-zone inflation rising to 3% in April, driven mainly by higher energy costs. The bank said upside risks to inflation and downside risks to growth had intensified because of the Middle East war.
It left the door open to further tightening depending on the duration of the energy shock.
A higher-rate path in the euro zone tends to strengthen the euro against the dollar, which can affect dollar-denominated feed commodity prices and European import costs. Higher energy and borrowing costs also weigh on European livestock and feed margins.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.