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USDA's July WASDE cut its outlook for U.S. soybean exports by 65 million bushels and domestic crush by 10 million bushels. The agency projected 2022/23 ending soybean stocks at 230 million bushels, above analyst expectations of 211 million.
Soybean futures fell to session lows as the most-active contract dropped about 4.3%.
Lower export and crush demand, driven by large South American harvests, points to heavier U.S. supplies and softer soybean and soymeal prices. Reduced crush also means less soymeal and oil output for feed buyers.
agweek.comMark Weinraub, ReutersJul 12, 2022After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
USDA cut soybean export and crush outlooks and ending stocks came in above expectations at 230 million bushels, so futures fell about 4.3%, with the reduced crush also affecting meal supply.
