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USDA's July WASDE report raised 2022 corn and wheat production estimates and trimmed soybean production on lower acreage. Corn and wheat supply estimates came in above expectations, while USDA's 2022/23 soybean ending stocks were cut to 230 million bushels.
Grain futures moved lower after the release.
Bigger corn and wheat supplies and a looser soybean balance than the trade expected add pressure to futures, and a Farm Futures analyst flagged possible buyer hesitancy amid a global recession.
farmprogress.comBen PotterJul 12, 2022After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
