
USDA's March WASDE cut Ukrainian and Russian export supplies, partly offset by larger exports from India and Australia. US corn exports rose 75 million bushels to 2.5 billion, lowering ending stocks to 1.44 billion bushels, and wheat futures fell limit down.
Lower US corn stocks support feed corn prices, while wheat's drop reflects offsetting supplies from India and Australia that ease the Black Sea shortfall.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.