
USDA's November WASDE raised the 2023-24 U.S. corn yield 1.9 bushels to 174.9 bpa, pushing production to a record 15.234 billion bushels. Soybean and wheat ending stocks also rose, and December corn fell to a new low after the release.
A record U.S. corn crop and higher ending stocks add supply pressure, so corn and soybean futures and feed-grain costs are likely to stay under downward pressure.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.