Soybean Futures Crumble Following Increased Acres, Record Yield and Production

After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.

• Jan 12, 2026Shocking New Records in Yield and Production Pummel Corn Futures+0.9%
• Nov 10, 2023Yield, Production and Stocks Increase Sends Corn and Soy Lower Following November WASDE+2.4%
• Sep 1, 2022Conab forecasts increased soybean, corn, and cotton production in Brazil-2.5%
• Nov 9, 2022November USDA Report Increases Corn and Soybean Production+0.9%
• Aug 12, 2022USDA Lowers Corn Production, Increases Soybean Production in August Reports-12.5%

After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.

• Jan 12, 2026Shocking New Records in Yield and Production Pummel Corn Futures-2.6%
• Sep 1, 2022Conab forecasts increased soybean, corn, and cotton production in Brazil-4.6%
• Aug 12, 2022USDA Lowers Corn Production, Increases Soybean Production in August Reports-10.9%
• Aug 10, 2017USDA Forecasts Record-High Soybean Production in 2017-3.9%
• Oct 28, 2019Russian sunflower seed & soybeans: new record in production+0.2%