
USDA's January WASDE raised U.S. 2023/24 corn ending stocks to 2.162 billion bushels and soybean ending stocks to 280 million bushels, both above trade expectations. USDA also cut Brazil's corn and soy production estimates while raising Argentina's soybean estimate.
Higher-than-expected U.S. and world stocks signal ample supply, which pressures corn and soybean prices and softens feed ingredient values.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.