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USDA's June 30 Acreage and Grain Stocks reports showed US soybean plantings at 83.5 million acres, four million below March intentions and below the lowest analyst estimate. June 1 soybean stocks of 796 million bushels were 18% lower than a year earlier and below most trade expectations.
Corn futures fell on larger-than-expected corn acreage.
A sharply smaller US soybean crop tightens new-crop supplies and lifts soybean, meal and oil prices, while bigger corn acreage pressures corn values.
grainews.caJulie Ingwersen, GFM Network NewsJul 1, 2023After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The June 30 USDA Acreage and Grain Stocks reports showed soybean plantings far below expectations and lower stocks, which drove a supply-shock rally in soybeans and soyoil within the 5-day window.
